Lille

3 - 1

Celta Vigo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.