Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
44.91% ( 0.16) | 27.14% ( 0.04) | 27.95% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 47.85% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.97% ( -0.23) | 57.03% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% ( -0.19) | 77.92% ( 0.19) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( -0.02) | 25.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% ( -0.03) | 60.06% ( 0.03) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.05% ( -0.29) | 35.95% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% ( -0.3) | 72.72% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.9% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |