Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
38.82% ( 0.82) | 30.12% ( -0.27) | 31.06% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 41.3% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.15% ( 0.7) | 65.85% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.52% ( 0.48) | 84.48% ( -0.48) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67% ( 0.89) | 33% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.41% ( 0.97) | 69.58% ( -0.97) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.65% ( -0.03) | 38.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.89% ( -0.03) | 75.1% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Leganes |
1-0 @ 14.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.62% Total : 31.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |