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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Newcastle logo

Wolves
1 - 2
Newcastle

Lemina (36')
Ait-Nouri (63'), Semedo (70'), Andre (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Schar (75'), Barnes (80')
Joelinton (38'), Burn (52'), Murphy (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Harvey Barnes scores a sensational long-range winner as Newcastle United come from behind to defeat Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 at Molineux in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNewcastle United
32.56% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24) 23.11% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 44.33% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 63.64% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.44% (0.279 0.28)37.56% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.21% (0.297 0.3)59.79% (-0.295 -0.3)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)22.95% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)56.73% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (0.23999999999999 0.24)17.39% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18% (0.415 0.41)47.82% (-0.414 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 32.56%
    Newcastle United 44.33%
    Draw 23.11%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.56%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.86% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 44.33%

How you voted: Wolves vs Newcastle

Wolverhampton Wanderers
14.4%
Draw
18.0%
Newcastle United
67.6%
250
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Newcastle
3-0
Wolves
Isak (14'), Gordon (33'), Livramento (90+2')

Ait-Nouri (85')
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolves
2-2
Newcastle
Lemina (36'), Hee-chan (71')
Ait-Nouri (83')
Wilson (22', 45+4')
Burn (66'), Lascelles (69'), Trippier (82'), Longstaff (90+6')
Mar 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newcastle
2-1
Wolves
Isak (26'), Almiron (79')
Hee-chan (70')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Wolves
1-1
Newcastle
Neves (38')
Semedo (28'), Neto (58')
Saint-Maximin (90')
Schar (46')
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Newcastle
1-0
Wolves
Wood (72' pen.)
Schar (56')

Moutinho (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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