Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.