Major League Soccer

Mar 10, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Stanford Stadium

Earthquakes
0 - 2
Vancouver

Wilson (62'), Judd (72'), Morales (80'), Thompson (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Schopf (74'), Ahmed (86')
Picault (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

It usually takes the Caps a few games to get settled every season, and we believe the Quakes attacking pieces will be able to take advantage of a Vancouver side who may be more fatigued having competed in the CONCACAF Champions Cup (CCC) before the start of the MLS campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
51.21% ( 0.11)	22.94% ( -0.02)	25.85% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 59.47% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.98% (

0.04)

41.01% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.59% (

0.04)

63.4% (

-0.04)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

0.05)

16.14% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43% (

0.09)

45.57% (

-0.09)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91% (

-0.04)

29.09% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99% (

-0.05)

65.01% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 51.21%

Vancouver Whitecaps 25.85%

Draw 22.94%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 51.21%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 25.85%