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Major League Soccer
Oct 29, 2023 at 1am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Los Angeles
5 - 2
Vancouver

Hollingshead (18', 52'), Bouanga (29', 64'), Murillo (80')
Vela (22')
FT(HT: 2-2)
White (27'), Adekugbe (40')
Brown (41'), Blackmon (55'), Vite (63'), Johnson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (Vancouver win on penalties)

From the outset of the 2023 MLS campaign, LAFC have had a target on their back, and although they finished the season strong, they have played a lot more games than most MLS sides this year, making the CONCACAF Champions League final, the Leagues Cup quarter-finals and also competing in the Campeones Cup, all of that to say they may be a little fatigued. The Whitecaps are not the same team that the LA saw at the CONCACAF Champions League this year, and their quick ball movements and pace could be difficult for the home side to handle, while the pressure on them will not be nearly as heavy as what the expectations are for Los Angeles.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
60.94% (1.5 1.5) 20.27% (-0.297 -0.3) 18.79% (-1.202 -1.2)
Both teams to score 58.9% (-1.135 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.78% (-0.491 -0.49)37.22% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (-0.533 -0.53)59.42% (0.53299999999999 0.53)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16% (0.26300000000001 0.26)11.83% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.91% (0.557 0.56)37.09% (-0.556 -0.56)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (-1.488 -1.49)33.19% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (-1.677 -1.68)69.79% (1.678 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 60.94%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 18.79%
    Draw 20.27%
Los Angeles FCDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.391 0.39)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.283 0.28)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.341 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.75% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.215 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 18.79%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Vancouver

Los Angeles FC
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2am
Vancouver
1-1
Los Angeles
Ahmed (58')
Adekugbe (71'), Berhalter (76')
Bouanga (34')
Cherundolo (0'), Palacios (44'), Bouanga (45+4'), Tillman (51'), Bogusz (57'), Sanchez (68'), Chiellini (73'), Crepeau (75')
Jun 25, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-3
Vancouver
Bouanga (45'), Vela (68')
Crisostomo (25'), Hollingshead (86')
Veselinovic (2'), White (23'), Gauld (63')
Raposo (31'), Vite (85'), Martins (90+1')
Nov 3, 2021 2.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami6420126614
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City72231011-18
12DC United7133917-86
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto7034713-63
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7421117414
3Austin FCAustin741253213
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes73131510510
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
10St Louis City72234408
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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