Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.