Major League Soccer

Jun 23, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
2 - 0
Vancouver

Rodriguez (26'), Mora (43')
Ayala (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Schopf (34'), Blackmon (39'), Berhalter (60'), Martins (90+1')
Schopf (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Portland
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: New England 3-2 Vancouver
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Caps have not proven they can consistently win in MLS, and without a key ball winner in Cubas, they will have a tough time contending with an aggressive Timbers side that possesses plenty of attacking depth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
43.59% ( -0.3)	24.23% ( 0.1)	32.18% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 59.41% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.96% (

-0.39)

43.03% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.56% (

-0.39)

65.43% (

0.39)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

-0.29)

19.92% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

-0.47)

52.05% (

0.47)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19% (

-0.07)

25.8% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

-0.09)

60.76% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 43.59%

Vancouver Whitecaps 32.18%

Draw 24.22%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 43.59%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.18%