Vancouver3 - 2Portland
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Portland Timbers
Both sides are coming off difficult matches last week, but with Cubas likely to be back in the Caps midfield, we expect them to do a better job of slowing down the Timbers in transition, which should enable them to create more chances when in possession. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
52.13% ( 0.03) | 24.2% ( -0.01) | 23.67% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( 0.03) | 48.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( 0.03) | 70.71% ( -0.03) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.03) | 18.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.05) | 49.9% ( -0.05) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.28% ( 0) | 71.72% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.12% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.67% |
