Major League Soccer
Mar 24, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Providence Park
Portland1 - 3Philadelphia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Portland
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Philadelphia Union
Goals have been a constant theme of this fixture, and we expect this weekend's edition to be no different. That said, we can also see Portland Timbers emerging victorious, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
44.6% ( 0.69) | 25% ( 0.1) | 30.4% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( -0.78) | 47.29% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( -0.73) | 69.52% ( 0.73) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.76% ( -0.02) | 21.24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.86% ( -0.02) | 54.14% ( 0.02) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -0.92) | 29.06% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.03% ( -1.15) | 64.97% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers 44.6%
Philadelphia Union 30.4%
Draw 25%
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.6% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.4% |
How you voted: Portland vs Philadelphia
Portland Timbers
66.7%Draw
29.2%Philadelphia Union
4.2%24
Head to Head
May 23, 2022 3am
May 31, 2021 12am
Aug 6, 2020 1am
Mar 29, 2020 3.30am
Gameweek 7
Portland
P-P
Philadelphia
Form Guide
