Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Philadelphia Union
47.07% ( -1.07)	24.28% ( 0.14)	28.65% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 57.21% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95% (

-0.04)

45.05% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6% (

-0.04)

67.4% (

0.04)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.45)

19.26% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

-0.75)

50.98% (

0.75)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

0.65)

29.14% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93% (

0.79)

65.07% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 47.07%

Philadelphia Union 28.65%

Draw 24.28%

Pachuca	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.07%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.41% Total : 28.65%