Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.