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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Portland Timbers

Austin
0 - 2
Portland


Zardes (47'), Jimenez (50'), Hines-Ike (64'), Fodrey (74'), Pereira (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evander (45+3'), Rodriguez (66' pen.)
Paredes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Portland Timbers

Austin will be licking their lips as they take on an inconsistent Portland side who have failed to win their last seven away matches. Wolff's men have been near impenetrable at the Q2 Stadium this season and we see them claiming all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
50.18% (0.080000000000005 0.08) 22.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 27.14% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 61.62% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (-0.161 -0.16)38.71% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)61.02% (0.169 0.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)15.66% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (-0.055 -0.05)44.69% (0.055 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)26.94% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.199 -0.2)62.27% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 50.18%
    Portland Timbers 27.14%
    Draw 22.67%
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.18%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.14%

How you voted: Austin vs Portland

Austin FC
Draw
Portland Timbers
Austin FC
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Portland Timbers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Portland
Driussi (75')
Wolff (57'), Cascante (61')
Mora (39'), Evander (65')
Antony (90+7')
May 7, 2023 3.30am
Sep 1, 2022 3.51am
Mar 13, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Austin
Tuiloma (62')
Chara (53'), Paredes (57'), Blanco (90+6')

Dominguez (49'), Driussi (50'), Kolmanic (50'), Pereira (60'), Valencia (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
Portland
3-0
Austin
Paredes (17'), Niezgoda (45+1'), Blanco (53')

Berhalter (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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