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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Portland Timbers

Austin
0 - 2
Portland


Zardes (47'), Jimenez (50'), Hines-Ike (64'), Fodrey (74'), Pereira (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evander (45+3'), Rodriguez (66' pen.)
Paredes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Portland Timbers

Austin will be licking their lips as they take on an inconsistent Portland side who have failed to win their last seven away matches. Wolff's men have been near impenetrable at the Q2 Stadium this season and we see them claiming all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
50.18% (0.080000000000005 0.08) 22.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 27.14% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 61.62% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (-0.161 -0.16)38.71% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)61.02% (0.169 0.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)15.66% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (-0.055 -0.05)44.69% (0.055 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)26.94% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.199 -0.2)62.27% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 50.18%
    Portland Timbers 27.14%
    Draw 22.67%
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.18%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.14%

How you voted: Austin vs Portland

Austin FC
Draw
Portland Timbers
Austin FC
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Portland Timbers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Portland
Driussi (75')
Wolff (57'), Cascante (61')
Mora (39'), Evander (65')
Antony (90+7')
May 7, 2023 3.30am
Sep 1, 2022 3.51am
Mar 13, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Austin
Tuiloma (62')
Chara (53'), Paredes (57'), Blanco (90+6')

Dominguez (49'), Driussi (50'), Kolmanic (50'), Pereira (60'), Valencia (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
Portland
3-0
Austin
Paredes (17'), Niezgoda (45+1'), Blanco (53')

Berhalter (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia5401126612
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC5311104610
3Inter MiamiInter Miami431094510
4Nashville SCNashville531183510
5Chicago Fire5311129310
6Columbus Crew52306339
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls52216428
8New York City FCNY City52216518
9Orlando City5212131127
10FC CincinnatiCincinnati521268-27
11DC United513179-26
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta512268-25
13New England RevolutionNew England401315-41
14Toronto5014612-61
15CF MontrealMontreal501429-71

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver5401105512
2Austin FCAustin53024319
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles53026609
4St Louis City52214138
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd52217618
6Colorado RapidsColorado522167-18
7Dallas521278-17
8Portland TimbersPortland521267-17
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes52038806
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake520359-46
11Seattle SoundersSeattle51227705
12Houston DynamoHouston502338-52
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy5023410-62
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas5014510-51
15San Diego FC00000000


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