Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
1 - 2
Portland

Driussi (75')
Wolff (57'), Cascante (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mora (39'), Evander (65')
Antony (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-2 Austin
Sunday, September 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Austin FC 2-2 Portland Timbers

With the standings as close as they are, we expect to see a fight to the finish for both of these sides on Saturday, as each have shown plenty of resilience of late, though we do no anticipate either one will have a decisive edge.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
56.94% ( -0.29)	23.06% ( 0.03)	20.01% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.03% (

0.23)

47.97% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.86% (

0.21)

70.15% (

-0.2)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38% (

-0.02)

16.62% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.55% (

-0.04)

46.45% (

0.04)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.81% (

0.41)

38.19% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

0.4)

74.95% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 56.94%

Portland Timbers 20.01%

Draw 23.06%

Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 56.94%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.06%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.01%