Austin3 - 2Kansas
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
for
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Austin FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City
Austin have been brilliant at home in their recent outings and are now on the verge of breaking their record for most successive wins at home since joining the MLS, and we believe they will do just that with a victory against an out-of-sorts Kansas. This fixture has provided plenty of goals in their recent meetings, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
42.33% ( 0.39) | 24.19% ( 0.01) | 33.47% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( -0.16) | 42.41% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.17% ( -0.16) | 64.82% ( 0.16) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( 0.11) | 20.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.46% ( 0.17) | 52.54% ( -0.18) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -0.31) | 24.73% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.71% ( -0.43) | 59.28% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.48% |
