Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.