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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Sep 15, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Independiente

Belgrano
1 - 1
Independiente

Jara (71')
Quignon (10'), Compagnucci (26'), Jara (56'), Reyna (75'), Troilo (84'), Fernandez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gabriel Montiel (46')
Vera (67'), Canelo (79')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Belgrano
Saturday, August 31 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, September 1 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 34.18%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 31.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 2-1 (6.45%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (14.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
BelgranoDrawIndependiente
34.18% (0.064 0.06) 31.76% (0.026 0.03) 34.06% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 37.77% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.81% (-0.07 -0.07)70.19% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.65% (-0.044 -0.04)87.35% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.5% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)75.25% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-0.108 -0.11)38.59% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (-0.103 -0.1)75.33% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 34.18%
    Independiente 34.05%
    Draw 31.75%
BelgranoDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 14.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 34.18%
0-0 @ 14.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-1 @ 13.5%
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.75%
0-1 @ 14.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.74% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 34.05%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Independiente
2-0
Belgrano
Cauteruccio (9' pen., 89' pen.)
Nov 11, 2018 4.15pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
2-1
Belgrano
Britez (45'), Romero (62')
Hernandez (53'), Britez (55')
Meza (39')
Sequeira (32' pen.)
Lugo (77'), Guidara (79')
Quiroga (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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