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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bradford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
54.41% ( 3.13) | 23.81% ( -0.94) | 21.78% ( -2.19) |
Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% ( 1.63) | 48.93% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% ( 1.46) | 71.02% ( -1.46) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( 1.83) | 17.88% ( -1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.34% ( 3.07) | 48.66% ( -3.07) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.06% ( -1.14) | 36.94% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.27% ( -1.15) | 73.72% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.49% Total : 54.4% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |