MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 07:32:52| >> :60:19:19:
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

Kilmarnock II
5 - 2
East Stirling

Warnock (16'), Wales (21'), Stokes (38'), Lesley (77'), McKnight (88')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Watson (8'), Honeyman (34')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Kilmarnock II and East Stirlingshire.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Kilmarnock II 3-0 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Last Game: St Mirren U21s 0-0 East Stirling (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Stirlingshire win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Kilmarnock II had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Stirlingshire win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock II win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock IIDrawEast Stirlingshire
31.29% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 22.75% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 45.95% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 64.37% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.64% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)36.36% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.51% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)58.49% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Kilmarnock II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)23.1% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)56.95% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
East Stirlingshire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)16.3% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.13% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)45.87% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock II 31.29%
    East Stirlingshire 45.95%
    Draw 22.74%
Kilmarnock IIDrawEast Stirlingshire
2-1 @ 7.33%
1-0 @ 5.52% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.29%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.7%
1-5 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 45.95%

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