Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 0-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
36.82% ( -0.43) | 21.72% ( -0.19) | 41.45% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 70.36% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.67% ( 0.91) | 29.32% ( -0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.62% ( 1.09) | 50.37% ( -1.1) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.96% ( 0.21) | 17.04% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.8% ( 0.38) | 47.19% ( -0.38) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.81% ( 0.61) | 15.19% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.19% ( 1.14) | 43.81% ( -1.14) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.26% Total : 41.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |