Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
32.15% ( -4.67) | 24.07% ( -0.38) | 43.77% ( 5.04) |
Both teams to score 59.95% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% ( 0.77) | 42.32% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% ( 0.76) | 64.73% ( -0.77) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% ( -2.28) | 25.47% ( 2.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% ( -3.23) | 60.31% ( 3.22) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% ( 2.66) | 19.55% ( -2.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.54% ( 4.18) | 51.45% ( -4.18) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.68) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.72) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.85) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.56) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.55) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.8) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.66) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.69) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.41) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.37) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.15% Total : 43.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |