Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
53.29% ( 1.37) | 22.36% ( -0.24) | 24.35% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 59.87% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.25% ( 0.04) | 39.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.9% ( 0.04) | 62.1% ( -0.04) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% ( 0.48) | 14.97% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.6% ( 0.9) | 43.39% ( -0.89) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( -0.86) | 29.59% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.38% ( -1.06) | 65.62% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.29% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.16% Total : 24.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |