Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.