Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
49.58% ( -0) | 22.88% ( 0) | 27.54% |
Both teams to score 61.28% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.69% ( -0) | 39.31% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.36% ( -0) | 61.64% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0) | 16.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.51% ( -0) | 45.48% ( 0) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( -0) | 26.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% ( -0) | 62.3% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |