Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
51.79% (![]() | 22.56% (![]() | 25.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.55% (![]() | 39.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.21% (![]() | 61.78% (![]() |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% (![]() | 15.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% (![]() | 44.14% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% (![]() | 28.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.83% (![]() | 64.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.64% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.85% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 10.29% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.47% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 3.51% Total : 25.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |