Scottish League One | Gameweek 15
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
New Central Park
Kelty Hearts3 - 2Edinburgh
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-0 QotS
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 3-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
69.87% ( 4.24) | 17.66% ( -1.58) | 12.46% ( -2.67) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% ( 1.18) | 38.06% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.67% ( 1.24) | 60.32% ( -1.25) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.21% ( 1.39) | 9.79% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.47% ( 3.13) | 32.53% ( -3.14) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( -3.1) | 41.79% ( 3.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.75% ( -2.82) | 78.25% ( 2.82) |
| Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts 69.87%
Edinburgh City 12.46%
Draw 17.66%
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.22)1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.97)3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.82)4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.49)5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.87% Total : 69.87% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.48)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.66% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.65) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.3)Other @ 1.44% Total : 12.46% |
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Edinburgh
0-3
Kelty Hearts
Deane (90+3')
Bavidge (14', 67', 68')
Thomson (38'), Lyon (90+3')
Thomson (38'), Lyon (90+3')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Edinburgh
1-4
Kelty Hearts
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Edinburgh
3-5
Kelty Hearts
Johnston (27', 49'), Daramola (42', 45+3'), Cunningham (54')
McCluskey (50'), Tidser (51'), Daramola (82')
McCluskey (50'), Tidser (51'), Daramola (82')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
