Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
69.87% ( 4.24) | 17.66% ( -1.58) | 12.46% ( -2.67) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( -1.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.94% ( 1.18) | 38.06% ( -1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.67% ( 1.24) | 60.32% ( -1.25) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.21% ( 1.39) | 9.79% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.47% ( 3.13) | 32.53% ( -3.14) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.21% ( -3.1) | 41.79% ( 3.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.75% ( -2.82) | 78.25% ( 2.82) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.97) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.82) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.49) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.87% Total : 69.87% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.66% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.65) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.44% Total : 12.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 21 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arbroath | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
5 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 18 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 14 |
9 | Dumbarton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |