Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
3 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Syla (62'), Rose (79'), McKenzie (90')
Syla (64'), McAllister (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Donnell (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Ayr United and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Ayr
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-1 Annan
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Kelty Hearts
64.01%	19.88%	16.11%

Both teams to score 54.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.75%

40.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.38%

62.62%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.09%

11.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.75%

37.25%

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.94%

38.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.17%

74.83%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 64%

Kelty Hearts 16.11%

Draw 19.88%

Ayr United	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 7.03% 4-0 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.82% Total : 64%	1-1 @ 9.32% 2-2 @ 4.79% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.88%	1-2 @ 4.5% 0-1 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.54% 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.11%