Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
42.94% ( 0.01) | 26.13% ( 0) | 30.94% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.18% ( -0.01) | 51.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% ( -0.01) | 73.58% ( 0.01) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.04% ( 0) | 23.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% ( 0) | 58.19% ( -0.01) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.03% ( -0.01) | 30.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.72% ( -0.02) | 67.28% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
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