Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.