Scottish Championship | Gameweek 9

Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
1 - 2
Raith Rovers

Hylton (30' pen.)
Jacobs (51'), Slater (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Connolly (19'), Vaughan (90+5')
Byrne (87'), Millen (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Arbroath 1-2 Morton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Raith Rovers 4-3 Partick
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
32.66% ( -1.79)	25.01% ( -0.2)	42.33% ( 2)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55% (

0.46)

46.45% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27% (

0.43)

68.73% (

-0.42)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84% (

-0.87)

27.17% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

-1.15)

62.57% (

1.15)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

1.17)

21.93% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

1.74)

55.2% (

-1.74)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 32.66%

Raith Rovers 42.33%

Draw 25%

Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.66%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.33%