Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.