Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
50.65% ( -0.21) | 24.22% ( 0.1) | 25.13% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.63% ( -0.35) | 47.37% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.41% ( -0.32) | 69.59% ( 0.32) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.27% ( -0.22) | 18.73% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.9% ( -0.36) | 50.1% ( 0.36) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% ( -0.09) | 33.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% ( -0.11) | 69.65% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.65% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |