Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.