Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.