Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Partick Thistle |
43.47% ( 0.18) | 25.01% ( 0.62) | 31.52% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 56.43% ( -2.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.17% ( -3.09) | 46.83% ( 3.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.92% ( -2.95) | 69.08% ( 2.96) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -1.21) | 21.55% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( -1.9) | 54.63% ( 1.9) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( -2.01) | 28.07% ( 2.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% ( -2.63) | 63.74% ( 2.63) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Partick Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.47% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |