Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
37.99% ( 0) | 26.29% | 35.72% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.22% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.55% ( -0) | 51.44% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.74% ( -0) | 73.25% ( 0) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( 0) | 26.39% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% ( 0) | 61.54% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( -0) | 27.7% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( -0) | 63.26% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 3.43% 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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