Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.