Scottish Championship | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ochilview Park

Queen's Park
2 - 5
Ayr

Paton (28'), Hepburn (52')
Tizzard (70'), Longridge (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Chalmers (6', 12'), Rose (32'), Murphy (44'), Dowds (53')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Queen's Park and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Queen's Park 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 0-4 Partick
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Queen's Park	Draw	Ayr United
43.09% ( -0.04)	26.33% ( 0.01)	30.58% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24% (

-0.02)

52.76% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

-0.02)

74.39% (

0.03)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

-0.03)

24.29% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

-0.04)

58.67% (

0.05)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

0.01)

31.71% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

0.01)

68.13% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Queen's Park 43.09%

Ayr United 30.58%

Draw 26.32%

Queen's Park	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.58%