Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
47.98% ( -1.92) | 24.67% ( 0.61) | 27.35% ( 1.31) |
Both teams to score 54.97% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.43% ( -1.65) | 47.57% ( 1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( -1.54) | 69.77% ( 1.55) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( -1.42) | 19.88% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( -2.35) | 51.99% ( 2.35) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( 0.16) | 31.39% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( 0.18) | 67.77% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.9% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
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