Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee United in this match.