Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.