Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
40.31% (![]() | 25.94% (![]() | 33.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% (![]() | 50.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% (![]() | 72.21% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% (![]() | 24.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.91% (![]() | 59.09% (![]() |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% (![]() | 28.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.93% (![]() | 64.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.65% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 12.32% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 50 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 48 |
3 | Livingston | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 46 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
5 | Raith Rovers | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 30 |
6 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 28 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 24 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 23 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 13 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |