Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.