Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
55.07% ( -0.16) | 22.45% ( 0.05) | 22.48% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.75% ( -0.14) | 42.25% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% ( -0.14) | 64.66% ( 0.13) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.75% ( -0.1) | 15.25% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.06% ( -0.19) | 43.94% ( 0.19) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.45% ( 0.01) | 32.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.92% ( 0.02) | 69.08% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.07% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |