Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.