Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for an Arsenal Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.