EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Globe Arena
Morecambe0 - 7Newcastle
Reaction
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The Match
Match Report
Steve Bruce's side scored five in the first half.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup third round tie between Morecambe and Newcastle United, including team news and injury news.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 30.09% | 24.99% | 44.92% |
| Both teams to score 55.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% | 47.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% | 69.58% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% | 29.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.74% | 65.26% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% | 21.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.05% | 53.95% |
| Score Analysis |
Morecambe 30.09%
Newcastle United 44.92%
Draw 24.99%
| Morecambe | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.09% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.92% |
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2013 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Derek Adams confident Morecambe can pull off famous upset against Newcastle
Steve Bruce's side head to Lancashire on Wednesday looking to avoid an almighty upset at the hands of the Shrimps.
5 years ago
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The 31-year-old midfielder is yet to appear in the Premier League this season.
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Steve Bruce accepts full blame for Newcastle's defeat to Brighton
The head coach will make changes at the Globe Arena.
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