Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route A
Oct 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Bulgaria1 - 3Hungary
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Hungary |
| 34.21% | 26.36% | 39.43% |
| Both teams to score 52.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
