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Belgium national football team
European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Italy national football team

Belgium
1 - 2
Italy

Lukaku (45+2' pen.)
Tielemans (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barella (31'), Insigne (44')
Verratti (20'), Berardi (90')

The Match

Match Report

Romelu Lukaku dragged the Red Devils back into it, but to no avail.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's European Championship clash between Belgium and Italy.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship clash between Belgium and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Friday's Euro 2020 quarter-final clash with Italy.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Belgium win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Italy in this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawItaly
37.38%23.97%38.65%
Both teams to score 61.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.3%40.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91%63.09%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17%21.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95%55.05%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8%21.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91%54.09%
Score Analysis
    Belgium 37.38%
    Italy 38.65%
    Draw 23.96%
BelgiumDrawItaly
2-1 @ 8.31%
1-0 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.38%
1-1 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-1 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.57%
1-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 38.65%

How you voted: Belgium vs Italy

Belgium
48.7%
Italy
51.3%
1586
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
0-2
Italy

Vertonghen (91')
Giaccherini (32'), Pelle (93')
Chiellini (66'), Eder (75'), Bonucci (78'), Motta (84')
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
3-1
Italy
rhs 2.0
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