
European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena

Belgium1 - 2Italy
Reaction

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The Match
Match Report
Romelu Lukaku dragged the Red Devils back into it, but to no avail.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's European Championship clash between Belgium and Italy.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's European Championship clash between Belgium and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Friday's Euro 2020 quarter-final clash with Italy.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Belgium win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Italy in this match.
Result | ||
Belgium | Draw | Italy |
37.38% | 23.97% | 38.65% |
Both teams to score 61.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.3% | 40.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% | 63.09% |
Belgium Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.17% | 21.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.95% | 55.05% |
Italy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% | 21.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% | 54.09% |
Score Analysis |
Belgium 37.38%
Italy 38.65%
Draw 23.96%
Belgium | Draw | Italy |
2-1 @ 8.31% 1-0 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.65% |
How you voted: Belgium vs Italy
Belgium
48.7%Italy
51.3%1586
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2016 8pm
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
3-1
Italy
Form Guide
Build-up

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How Belgium could line up against Italy
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Friday's Euro 2020 quarter-final clash with Italy.
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How Italy could line up against Belgium
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Friday's Euro 2020 quarter-final clash with Belgium.
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A closer look at the Euro 2020 quarter-finals
A look at how the four ties shape up
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