Nations League | Third-Place Final
Oct 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Italy2 - 1Belgium
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Italy and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Sunday's Nations clash with Italy.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Italy had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Italy win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Belgium |
| 35.91% | 24.7% | 39.39% |
| Both teams to score 58.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% | 44.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% | 24.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.39% | 58.6% |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% | 22.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.04% | 55.95% |
| Score Analysis |
Italy 35.91%
Belgium 39.39%
Draw 24.69%
| Italy | Draw | Belgium |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.98% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.13% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.39% |
How you voted: Italy vs Belgium
Italy
56.7%Draw
16.4%Belgium
26.9%379
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2016 8pm
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
3-1
Italy
Form Guide
Build-up
Chelsea forward Romelu Lukaku leaves Belgium camp with muscle issue
Chelsea forward Romelu Lukaku leaves the Belgium camp ahead of their UEFA Nations League meeting with Italy due to a muscle issue.
3 years ago
How Belgium could line up against Italy
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Sunday's Nations clash with Italy.
3 years ago
How Italy could line up against Belgium
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's Nations League clash with Belgium.
3 years ago
