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Belgium national football team
Nations League | Semi-Finals
Oct 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
France national football team

Belgium
2 - 3
France

Carrasco (37'), Lukaku (40')
Vertonghen (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benzema (62'), Mbappe (69' pen.), Hernandez (90')

The Match

Team News

France manager Didier Deschamps starts both Theo Hernandez and Lucas Hernandez for Thursday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with Belgium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belgium and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with Belgium.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for France had a probability of 38.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.93%) and 3-2 (4.6%). The likeliest France win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
BelgiumDrawFrance
39.9%21.41%38.7%
Both teams to score 71.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.49%27.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.88%48.13%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52%43.48%
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53%15.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65%44.35%
Score Analysis
    Belgium 39.9%
    France 38.7%
    Draw 21.41%
BelgiumDrawFrance
2-1 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 4.6%
1-0 @ 4.41%
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 2.18%
4-3 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 7.27%
3-3 @ 2.86%
0-0 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 7.67%
1-3 @ 4.77%
2-3 @ 4.52%
0-1 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 2.23%
2-4 @ 2.11%
3-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 4%
Total : 38.7%

How you voted: Belgium vs France

Belgium
72.8%
France
27.2%
511
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2018 7pm
Semi-Finals
France
1-0
Belgium
Umtiti (51')
Jun 7, 2015 8pm
International Friendlies
France
3-4
Belgium
Aug 14, 2013 8pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
0-0
France
Jun 5, 1938
4pm
rhs 2.0
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