Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
